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Jaylen Nowell

Jaylen Nowell Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Jaylen Nowell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Nowell has attempted 9.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
  • Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have averaged 34.1% on three-pointers (6th-lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, creating a difficult matchup.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.
  • The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 21.1 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaylen Nowell has sunk 16.7% of his three-pointers on his home court this year, ranking him in the 19th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Nowell places in the 78th percentile for technical fouls, logging a massive 0.0 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has brought down 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).

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