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Jaylen Nowell

Jaylen Nowell Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaylen Nowell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-123).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Nowell has attempted 9.4 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 6.6 rate last season.

Jaylen Nowell has converted 1.5 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted overall this season away from home.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.

This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are at home, opposing squads have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (32.6%).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 19.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (6th-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Nowell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers stat production across the board.

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