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Jaylen Nowell

Jaylen Nowell Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaylen Nowell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Nowell has made 7.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.9 higher than he's made over the course of the year while playing away from home.

Jaylen Nowell has made 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season away from home.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

The matchup against the Lakers is a tough one for three-pointers; their opposition have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (34.1%).

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Nowell has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.

The Lakers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 9 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

With the home court advantage, the Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Nowell will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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