Jaylen Nowell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

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Jaylen Nowell

NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Nowell

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Nowell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylen Nowell has attempted 9.6 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 6.6 rate last season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This matchup is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Jazz are playing at home, opposing squads have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (31.4).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Jazz have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaylen Nowell has sunk 65.5% of his free throws while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Jazz may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 26.0 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Jazz are playing at home (2nd-least in the NBA).

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