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Jaylen Nowell

Jaylen Nowell Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies

Jaylen Nowell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-123).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home.

The Timberwolves have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.

The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a positive one for scoring; the other team have put up the highest FG% in the league this year (44.9%).

Jaylen Nowell will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Nowell has made a measly 26.9% of his 3-point attempts this year, significantly less than his 40.4 rate last year.

Jaylen Nowell has missed 0.8 foul shot attempts per game over the last 10 games, 0.4 more than he's missed overall this year.

Jaylen Nowell has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (82nd percentile).

The Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Grizzlies may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a measly 26.7 foul shots per game over the last 15 games away from home (4th-least in the league).

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