Jaylen Nowell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2023

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Jaylen Nowell

NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Nowell

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Nowell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylen Nowell has made 5.5 baskets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's sunk overall this season without the home court advantage.
Jaylen Nowell has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 22.1% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league away from home this year.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a good one for scoring; while at home, opposing teams have compiled the 4th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (44.9%).

Favors Under

Jaylen Nowell has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.9 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The Rockets have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Rockets may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 23.7 free throws per game since the start of last season (6th-least in the league).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Jaylen Nowell will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lowers player performance across the board.

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