Jaylen Nowell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2023

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Jaylen Nowell

NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Nowell

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers · Jan 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Nowell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylen Nowell has attempted 10.9 shots from the field per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jaylen Nowell has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 23.2% higher than he's sunk overall this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Clippers may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a massive 22.0 foul shots per game this year when playing on the road (2nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jaylen Nowell has accumulated 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games while at home, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home.
The Clippers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should reduce plays for the Clippers.

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