Jaylen Nowell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2022

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Jaylen Nowell

NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Nowell

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 30, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Nowell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league while playing on the road this year.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a massive 20.9 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a strong one for scoring; opposing squads have shot for the highest Field Goal% in the league this year while playing at home (44.7%).

Favors Under

Jaylen Nowell has sunk 37.6% of his field goals away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jaylen Nowell has made 21.2% of his treys without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 20th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jaylen Nowell has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this season.
The matchup against the Bucks is a hard one for 3-pointers; with the home court advantage, the other team have tallied the 10th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (12.5).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).

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