Jaylen Nowell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Nowell

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 25, 2023

Updated Apr 25, 2023 10:06 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Nowell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylen Nowell has converted 1.5 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted overall this season away from home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road when it comes to threes.
This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are at home, opposing squads have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (32.6%).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Jaylen Nowell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers stat production across the board.