Jaylen Nowell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Jaylen Nowell

NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Nowell

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Nowell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-185/+150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylen Nowell has attempted 3.8 3-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.6 mark last season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league this year.
The Pelicans have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (which can also create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaylen Nowell has failed to make 2.7 shots from downtown per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.6 rate last season.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a hard one for attempts from downtown; the other team have tallied the 5th-least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (36.4).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Pelicans.
Jaylen Nowell will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers player production for all stats.

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