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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 12/25/2024

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.1 3-pointers per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 5.8 rate last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Celtics have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.0 free throws per game this year, significantly more than his 4.5 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has shot and missed 10.7 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.9 rate last season.

The matchup vs. the 76ers is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (11.3).

The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the 76ers).

As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls while at home: 3rd-worst in the league this year, totaling a measly 18.5 foul shot attempts per game.

This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the 76ers, making it tough to draw fouls.

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