Jaylen Brown Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Brown

G-F · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Brown Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylen Brown has attempted 10.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.9 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Jaylen Brown has converted 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players [IN_THE_LEAGUE].
Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year away from their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans.

Favors Under

Jaylen Brown has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- [AMONG_THE_LEAGUES_MOST_FOUL_PRONE].
The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the other team have tallied the 6th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (36.5).
The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA since the start of last season while on their home court.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a hard one for threes; the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 3rd-lowest three rate in the NBA since the start of last season (30.6%).