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Jaxson Hayes

Jaxson Hayes Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Jaxson Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaxson Hayes has converted 4.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's converted overall this season.

Jaxson Hayes has played 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's played in all games this season.

The Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Lakers's terrific 24.5 free throws per game while playing at home comes in as the best in the NBA this year.

Jaxson Hayes will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raise player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaxson Hayes has successfully made 0.0% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jaxson Hayes has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's committed overall this season.

The showdown with Aaron Gordon lands in the 7th percentile with the other team's starting Cs draining a mere 21.3% of their three-pointers this year.

The 7th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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