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Jarred Vanderbilt

Jarred Vanderbilt Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jarred Vanderbilt has sunk 41.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 17.3% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league when playing away from home this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jarred Vanderbilt has successfully made 89.3% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 23.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year away from his home court.

The matchup against the Rockets may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (29th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jarred Vanderbilt has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (83rd percentile).

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year in terms of threes.

The matchup against Houston is a hard one; when the Rockets are on their home court, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (12.1).

The Rockets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.

While playing at home, the Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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