Jaren Jackson Jr. Steals - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Steals

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-210/+170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -205 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -210.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has posted 1.0 steals per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 85th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Jaren Jackson Jr. has been called for 4.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Timberwolves.
Jaren Jackson Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.