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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/7/2024

Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has logged 21.7 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 92nd percentile.
  • The fastest tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
  • The Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year on the road.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (98th percentile).
  • The matchup against the Celtics is a challenging one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).
  • The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Grizzlies.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. should see a decline in performance in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this game.

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