Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/7/2024

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Jaren Jackson Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 7, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has logged 21.7 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 92nd percentile.
The fastest tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year on the road.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (98th percentile).
The matchup against the Celtics is a challenging one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Jaren Jackson Jr. should see a decline in performance in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this game.

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