Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2024

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Jaren Jackson Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 15, 2024

Updated Nov 16, 2024 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 15.8 field goal attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a strong matchup.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost plays for the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. comes in at the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 3.3 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The Grizzlies rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home in regard to shot attempts from downtown.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Warriors, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
Jaren Jackson Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance across the board.

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