Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2024

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Jaren Jackson Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 13, 2024

Updated Nov 14, 2024 2:49 AM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted an impressive 55.2% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly more than his 44.1 rate last season.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has sunk 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 5.6 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, labeling this as a good matchup.
The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Lakers have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 3.5 personal fouls per game away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA as the visting team this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
In comparison to last season's 6.3 clip, Jaren Jackson Jr.'s number of foul shots has decreased this season to 5.1 foul shots per game.
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Lakers, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.
Jaren Jackson Jr. will likely see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this contest.

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