Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 5:44 PM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 50.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 10.8% more than he's sunk overall this season.
The matchup vs. the Washington Wizards is a strong one; they have given up the 9th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (18.6).
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaren Jackson Jr. has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Grizzlies rank as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to three-point attempts.