Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Jaren Jackson Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:44 PM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has successfully made 7.0 shots made from the field per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Lakers is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more plays for the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 3.5 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Lakers may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

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