Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 20.7 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 3.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Among all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. comes in at the 86th percentile for three-point attempts, posting 5.6 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 31.7 minutes per game away from home this year.
The number of points notched against Victor Wembanyama has been remarkably high (17.2 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Spurs).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 3.6 fouls per game this year.
The Grizzlies rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home.
Jaren Jackson Jr. ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats considering playing away from home in this game.