Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 1:23 AM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 21.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 84th percentile.
With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the league while playing at home over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Warriors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Away from home, the Warriors have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. ranks in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 3.5 fouls per game on his home court this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for three-point attempts; their opposition has tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (40.4).
The matchup vs. Draymond Green is a challenging one for field goal attempts; when Green is playing on the road and defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 9.0 field goals per game (13th percentile).
The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies rank 5thworst in in the league while at home with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.