Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted 56.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 9.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while playing on the road.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. registers in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.5 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
The matchup vs. the Suns is a tough one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 13th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.1%).
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns).
The Grizzlies have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has brought down 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Suns (continuing possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).