Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Jaren Jackson Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 11:54 PM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has scored 28.0 points per game over the last 5 games on the road, 6.1 higher than he's scored in all games this season on the road.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted 55.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 12.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing on the road.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has played 30.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. the Hawks is a positive one for scoring; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 28th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (54.1%).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 1stworst in in the league on the road with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
While at home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, their opposition has attempted 24.9 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
Jaren Jackson Jr. will likely see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories considering being on the road in this matchup.

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