Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Jaren Jackson Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 15.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 7.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a strong one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (16.0).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Rockets have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league on their home court this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Jaren Jackson Jr. has been called for 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year when it comes to shots from downtown.
The Rockets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jaren Jackson Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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