Jaren Jackson Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 10:37 PM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has tallied 4.0 assists per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. measures in the 82nd percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 31.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. slots into the 99th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 3.6 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 4thworst in in the league with only 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
While playing at home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).