James Harden Points - Player Prop Bet 5/21/2026

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NBA · Player Props

James Harden

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 21, 2026

Updated May 21, 2026 8:08 PM EST

Analysis

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+102/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 6th-best in in the league while playing on the road with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Knicks, easily managing to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 4.8 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Knicks, marking this as a tough matchup.
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Knicks).