James Harden Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2026

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NBA · Player Props

James Harden

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons · May 11, 2026

Updated May 11, 2026 7:53 PM EST

Analysis

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cavaliers rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Detroit is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.7 free throws per game this year when the Detroit Pistons are the visiting squad (2nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged 37.4% on shots from the field (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Pistons, creating a tough matchup.
The 4th-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.