James Harden Points - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2026

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NBA · Player Props

James Harden

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors · May 3, 2026

Updated May 3, 2026 7:33 PM EST

Analysis

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+108/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

James Harden has averaged 24.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The Cavaliers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers rank 7th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Toronto is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Raptors are on the road, opposing starting PGs have posted the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (23.6%).
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the 8th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Toronto Raptors).
The matchup vs. Toronto may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Raptors are away from home (5th-least in the league).