James Harden Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2026

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NBA · Player Props

James Harden

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 1, 2026

Updated May 1, 2026 7:18 PM EST

Analysis

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+113/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 6th-best in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Raptors is a challenging one; they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league in their home city this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers.
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Raptors, struggling to get to the charity stripe.