Jamal Murray Steals - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 19, 2023

Updated Apr 19, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+176/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +182 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +176.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has compiled 1.0 steals per game this year at home, placing him among the league's best by this standard recently: 80th percentile.
Jamal Murray has played 32.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Nuggets.
Jamal Murray will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.