Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 12, 2026

Updated Mar 12, 2026 8:48 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has notched 30.2 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 4.1 more than he's notched in all games this year on the road.
The Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have shot for the highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (50.2%).
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA away from home with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.