Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 9, 2026

Updated Mar 9, 2026 7:28 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has logged 30.0 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 3.7 higher than he's logged over the course of the season on the road.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder, labeling this as a good matchup.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 3rdworst in in the NBA away from their home court with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.