Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 18, 2026

Updated Jan 18, 2026 7:39 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has scored 31.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's scored over the course of the season.
The Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 23 games away from their home city, which should boost opportunities for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a challenging one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.3).
The Nuggets rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Hornets is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game this year (3rd-least in the league).