Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 14, 2026

Updated Jan 14, 2026 9:44 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Dallas Mavericks are at home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Nuggets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to draw fouls.