Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/23/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 23, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ +101 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has attempted 8.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 35.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged 15.6 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, designating this as a strong matchup.
The 7th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.
The Nuggets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 46.1% clip, Jamal Murray's field goal performance has tailed off this season to 38.9%.
The Nuggets have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point attempts.
Jamal Murray should experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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