Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 5/16/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 16, 2024

Updated May 17, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has attempted 20.4 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Jamal Murray has tallied 38.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 8th-best in the league while playing on the road with 11.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Jamal Murray has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.7% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged overall this year.
With respect to scoring, the Nuggets's unimpressive 111.4 points per game as the road team comes in as the 10th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goals (weakest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a difficult matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

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