Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 10, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has attempted 20.5 shots per game over the last 10 games, 3.3 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Jamal Murray has attempted 7.6 threes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
Jamal Murray has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's played in all games this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league on the road this year has been the Nuggets.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goals (worst in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league).
Jamal Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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