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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has converted 9.3 baskets per game over the last 15 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's sunk overall this season at home.

Jamal Murray has converted 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season at home.

Jamal Murray has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 10th-best in in the league with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 23.6% on three-pointers (worst in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, labeling this as a challenging matchup.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.

As a team, the Nuggets have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the league this year, averaging just 20.2 foul shots per game.

Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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