Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has attempted 19.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Jamal Murray has attempted 7.2 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 32.0 minutes per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 30.6% on 3-pointers (7th-worst in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a hard matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Jamal Murray is expected to see a decline in efficiency in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this contest.

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