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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has converted 11.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Jamal Murray has sunk 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.

Jamal Murray has played 38.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.1 more than he's played overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.1 more than he's been called for overall this season at home.

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The matchup against Miami is a difficult one; when the Heat are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (16.0).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

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