Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 5/16/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 16, 2023

Updated May 17, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has attempted 20.6 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 3.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Jamal Murray has attempted 9.1 threes per game over the last 15 games on his home court, 1.9 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Jamal Murray has been on the court for 38.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one; when the Lakers are the visiting team, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.5).
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league away from their home city this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home.
The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 8th-worst in the league this year with a mere 22.4 foul shots per game.

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