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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 3/30/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has attempted 19.0 shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 3.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Jamal Murray has converted 4.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's made from three overall this season at home.

Jamal Murray has played 31.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Pelicans are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 8th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (6.1).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.

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