Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has sunk 8.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted overall this year.
Jamal Murray has made 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Jamal Murray has played 31.2 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home.
This matchup is a favorable one for field goals; when the Timberwolves are away from home, their opposition have put up the 8th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA against them this year (47.0%).

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (78th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.5 foul shots per game TIMEFRAME when the Timberwolves are the visting squad (8th-least in the NBA).