Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 12, 2024

Updated May 12, 2024 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-147/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has converted 2.2 3-point shots per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jamal Murray has tallied 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7th-best in the league on the road with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PGs have totaled 4.7 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, marking this as a hard matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Denver Nuggets.
Jamal Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.