Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 10, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-148/+124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has converted 40.9% of his three-point shots on the road this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jamal Murray has attempted 7.6 threes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
Jamal Murray has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's played in all games this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league on the road this year has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PGs have totaled 4.7 three attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a tough matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
Jamal Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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