Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jamal Murray has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 14thbest in in the league when playing on the road with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA while playing on the road this year has been the Nuggets.
The least up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).
This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.7 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).
Jamal Murray will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player production in all stat categories.

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