Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 7:23 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-106/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has converted an impressive 50.1% of his treys this season, quite a bit higher than his 38.9 mark last season.
The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors is a positive one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 24th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (7.0).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has accumulated 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.
When it comes to 3-pointers, the Nuggets's lackluster 10.9 made threes per game while playing on the road settles in as the 4th-weakest in the league this year.
The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
The Raptors have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).