Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 6/9/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jun 9, 2023

Updated Jun 9, 2023 5:56 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has successfully made 2.4 shots from downtown per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jamal Murray has played 39.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.9 higher than he's played in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Heat have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road.
The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jamal Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production across the board.

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