Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 9:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has successfully made 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this year.
Jamal Murray has played 32.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 22nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (6.0).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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